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+EV Betting Opportunities
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Understanding +EV Betting
🎲 What is Expected Value?
Expected Value (EV) measures the average amount you can expect to win or lose per bet over the long run. Positive EV (+EV) means the bet is mathematically profitable.
📊 How We Calculate EV
EV = (Win Probability × Payout) - (Loss Probability × Stake). Our model compares predicted probabilities against market odds to find value.
� Kelly Criterion & Half Kelly
The Kelly Criterion calculates the optimal bet size to maximize long-term growth. Half Kelly (50% of Kelly) is recommended for most bettors as it reduces variance while maintaining strong returns, offering a safer approach to bankroll management.
�💡 Using +EV Bets
Focus on bets with higher EV percentages and reasonable confidence levels. Remember, even +EV bets can lose - it's about long-term profitability.
⚠️ Risk Management
Never bet more than 1-5% of your bankroll on a single bet. Diversify across multiple +EV opportunities to reduce variance. Consider using Half Kelly for more conservative bet sizing.