🏈 NFL Betting Model

Powered by DozenCrust Analytics API

Checking API...
🎰

--

Total Parlays

💎

--

Best EV

🛡️

--

Safest Parlay

--

Qualified Bets

Select Week

🎰 Parlay Recommendations

Building optimal parlays...

Browse by Number of Legs

Understanding Parlays

🎲 What is a Parlay?

A parlay combines multiple bets into one. ALL legs must win for the parlay to pay out. Higher risk, but exponentially higher rewards.

📊 Risk Ratings Explained

LOW: ≥50% win prob
MODERATE: 30-49%
HIGH: 15-29%
VERY HIGH: <15%

💰 Expected Value (EV)

EV shows long-term profitability. +200% EV on a 3-leg parlay means if you bet this exact combination 100 times, you'd profit 200% on average.

🎯 Optimal Strategy

Stick to 2-3 leg parlays with HIGH confidence picks (70%+). Use 1-2% of bankroll max. More legs = exponentially lower win probability.

⚠️ Common Mistakes

Don't parlay correlated bets. Avoid "lottery ticket" 10-leg parlays. Never chase losses. Remember: sportsbooks love parlays for a reason.

📈 Win Probability Math

3 legs at 80% each = 0.80 × 0.80 × 0.80 = 51.2% combined win probability. Each leg multiplies, not adds!